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Election Experts

The race for the 2008 presidential election has already begun, AU professors are available to comment on the politics, the strategy and their impact on American policy.



Center for the Study of the American Electorate
African-Americans, Anger, Fear and Youth Propel Turnout to Highest Level Since 1960
African-American voters, youth organization efforts, an angry citizenry, and a deep recession all conspired to produce both a 2008 Obama victory and the highest general election voter turnout since 1960. According to a report released today by American University’s Center for the Study of the American Electorate (CSAE), 131,257,542 Americans voted for president in 2008—nine million more than cast their ballots in 2004—with 63 percent of eligible voters participating.

Complete StudyPDF

Much-hyped Turnout Record Fails to Materialize: Convenience Voting Fails to Boost Balloting

Complete StudyPDF


Moderate Registration Increase Propels New Record: Democrats and Unaffiliated Gain; Republicans Lose

Complete StudyPDF


2008 Primary Turnout: Presidential Races Miss Record High, Senate and Governor Contests Hit Record Low

Complete StudyPDF

College of Arts and Sciences
AU History Professor Uses "13 Keys" to Predict Democratic Victory in Presidential Election
Allan Lichtman's "13 Keys" forcasting model has successfully predicted the last six presidential popular vote winners
AU History professor Allan Lichtman's "13 Keys" model, which he devised in his 1992 book 13 Keys to the Presidency, has successfully predicted the popular vote winner in the last six presidential elections. Now he is predicting "an overwhelming Democtratic victory" in November. To set up an interview with prof. Lichtman, contact Media Relations at 202-885-5950.

Center for the Study of the American Electorate
2008 Primary Turnout Falls Just Short of Record Nationally, Breaks Records in Most States
Report by Curtis Gans of AU’s Center for the Study of the American Electorate Finds Democratic Turnout Far Exceeds GOP

Complete StudyPDF

2008 Primary Turnout On Pace To Reach Record Highs
Curtis Gans of AU’s Center for the Study of the American Electorate analyzes the results as of Super Tuesday

Center for Democracy and Election Management
New Survey Suggests that Voter IDs Are Not the Problem
American University’s Center for Democracy and Election Management sampled registered voters in three states
A new study by American University's Center for Democracy and Election Management (CDEM) finds, surprisingly, that only 1.2 percent of registered voters lack a government-issued photo ID, and more than two-thirds of all registered voters in the three states feel that the electoral system would be trusted more if people had to show an ID to vote.

Complete StudyPDF

 

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